Key Takeaways:
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Bitcoin value holds above $100,000, pushed by “risk-on” sentiment after the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) dropped to twenty.
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The Bitcoin Bull Rating Index surged to 80, and the Concern & Greed Index suggests rising optimism, with historic patterns indicating potential for additional value good points.
Bitcoin (BTC) value continues to consolidate greater above $100,000 after the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) dropped to its 30-year common of 20, down from a peak of 60 earlier in 2025. This decline follows a US-China commerce deal on Could 12, which launched a 90-day tariff pause and a 115% discount on either side.
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The settlement has fueled a “risk-on” sentiment, boosting Bitcoin and equities as traders lean into higher-risk belongings, in keeping with Bitcoin community economist Timothy Peterson. The analyst stated,
“$VIX dropped considerably yesterday on information of a possible China commerce deal. It’s now at ‘regular’ ranges. This might be a ‘threat on’ atmosphere for the foreseeable future.”
Including to the bullish sentiment, the US Shopper Value Index (CPI) inflation charge dropped to 2.3% year-over-year in April 2025, the bottom since February 2021, down from 2.4% in March and under consensus forecasts of two.4%. This softer-than-expected CPI studying indicators easing inflationary stress, doubtlessly growing the probability of Federal Reserve rate of interest cuts in 2025, assuming different financial indicators align.
With respect to the present macroeconomic dynamics—decrease volatility, cooling inflation, and a commerce battle truce- it creates favorable market situations for Bitcoin.
Earlier this month, Peterson noted that BTC may attain $135,000 inside 100 days, citing a drop within the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) from 55 to 25, signaling a “risk-on” atmosphere. With 95% accuracy, his mannequin hyperlinks low VIX ranges to elevated investor confidence in riskier belongings like Bitcoin.
Related: Bitcoin shrugs off US CPI win as Binance CEO says BTC ‘leading pack’
Bitcoin bull rating index reaches yearly excessive
After posting one in all its least bullish phases in two years throughout April, Bitcoin sentiment flipped drastically to its highest studying in 2025. Knowledge from CryptoQuant indicated a dramatic rise within the Bitcoin Bull Rating Index, hovering from 20 to 80, a stage traditionally related to important value surges.
This shift, pushed by rising spot demand outpacing provide, displays patterns noticed after the April 2024 halving, suggesting Bitcoin may very well be poised for additional good points.
Likewise, Bitcoin researcher Axel Adler Jr noted that whereas the Bitcoin Concern & Greed Index is climbing, at present at 53.3%, it stays under the “overloaded” zone above 80%. The analyst mentioned the opportunity of a market “upswing,” expressing hope for a profitable take a look at and surpassing Bitcoin’s all-time excessive close to $110,000.
Related: Bitcoin profit taking at $106K the first stop before new all-time BTC price highs
This text doesn’t comprise funding recommendation or suggestions. Each funding and buying and selling transfer includes threat, and readers ought to conduct their very own analysis when making a choice.
