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Analyst Says Bitcoin Bear Market Has Started, Predicts 50% Crash To $61,000

SCRYPTO MAGAZINE by SCRYPTO MAGAZINE
September 26, 2025
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Analyst Says Bitcoin Bear Market Has Started, Predicts 50% Crash To $61,000
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After hitting its $124,000 all-time excessive again in July, the Bitcoin value has now moved again right into a phase of struggling and consolidation. Whereas many have known as this out as solely a brief cease, anticipating the Bitcoin value to proceed its ascent as soon as the decline is over, crypto analyst EXCAVO has taken a extra bearish outlook. In accordance with the analyst, the present market development truly factors to the tip of the bull market and the start of the following bear market.

Why The Bitcoin Worth Will Crash

Within the evaluation, EXCAVO outlined why they believe that the Bitcoin bear market was truly over. These got because the traditional indicators of a high of the market, and there have been three in complete. The primary of those is what the analyst known as “Common Optimism.”

This common optimism merely factors to the truth that everyone seems to be bullish at this level, along with seemingly bullish developments. EXCAVO factors to the truth that governments at the moment are accepting crypto and creating reserve funds as the explanation common optimism is an indication of the highest.

Associated Studying

Subsequent is that company shopping for has continued, particularly for the likes of Bitcoin. Public firms comparable to Technique have amassed massive reserves of Bitcoin, with Ethereum treasuries not overlooked. These treasury firms have now purchased tens of billions of {dollars}’ price of Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Final however not least, is that positive news around crypto is at present dominating the media. The analyst believes that with a lot constructive information and buyers being reluctant to promote as they watch for increased costs, comparable to $200,000, $300,000, and $500,000, it’s a sign that the Bitcoin value has topped.

Bitcoin price
Supply: TradingView

The Exit Technique

Taking part in into the concept the Bitcoin value has topped and is headed into another bear market, the crypto analyst defined that they’ve bought the whole lot. The plan is to attend till September 2026 earlier than shopping for again in. In accordance with the crypto analyst’s chart, they count on the Bitcoin value to fall under $61,000 at the moment.

Associated Studying

The analyst additionally backs this up with the cycle principle, which says there are round 151 weeks of progress adopted by 51 weeks of decline. Going by this, the expansion part is already accomplished, and between September 13 and October 6 is the beginning of the reversal zone that begins the bear market decline.

Moreover, the crypto analyst additionally dismisses the idea of an altcoin season. As a result of massive variety of cryptocurrencies proper now, sitting at over 1 million cash, EXCAVO says it isn’t potential for all cash to be pushed up on the similar time, prefer it did in 2017. Moderately, there will probably be selective pumps on altcoins that gamers are interested by.

“I’ve not turn out to be a bear perpetually. I consider Bitcoin will hit $300,000. However not within the coming months,” the analyst said. “It will likely be price that in 2.5 years, after a wholesome 50-60% correction from the height.”

Bitcoin price chart from TradingView.com
BTC fails to carry help at $112,000 | Supply: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Featured picture from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com



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