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Would A 30% Bitcoin Price Crash Be Devastating For Tether’s USDT? Here’s The Truth

SCRYPTO MAGAZINE by SCRYPTO MAGAZINE
December 3, 2025
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Would A 30% Bitcoin Price Crash Be Devastating For Tether’s USDT? Here’s The Truth
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Trusted Editorial content material, reviewed by main business consultants and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Tether, the issuer of USDT, has lengthy been thought of one of the steady belongings within the crypto market, however a current report means that a crash in the Bitcoin price might jeopardize the stablecoin’s solvency. Arthur Hayes, co-founder and CIO of BitMEX, has revealed {that a} portion of USDT’s reserves is allotted to BTC, doubtlessly exposing it to heightened market volatility. 

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Bitcoin Value Crash To Threaten Tether USDT Stability 

In a current report shared on X earlier this week, Hayes outlined market dangers that might have a devastating affect on Tether’s USDT. The BitMEX founder defined that the stablecoin issuer has been executing a large-scale rate of interest commerce, seemingly betting on a Federal Reserve (FED) rate cut. 

He acknowledged that the stablecoin issuer has accumulated significant positions in Bitcoin and gold to hedge in opposition to falling curiosity earnings. In consequence, Hayes has warned that if Tether’s positions in each gold and Bitcoin had been to say no by roughly 30%, it might wipe out its complete fairness, theoretically placing USDT prone to insolvency. 

Since stablecoins are usually backed by the US greenback, the crypto founder has acknowledged {that a} extreme drop in Tether’s reserve worth might set off panic amongst USDT holders and crypto exchanges. In such a state of affairs, they may demand rapid perception into the stablecoin issuer’s stability sheet to gauge solvency danger. Hayes has additionally urged that the mainstream media might additional amplify the issues, creating widespread market alarm.  

Analyst Fires Again Towards Hayes’ USDT Claims

Following Hayes’ statements on X, Tether’s USDT has come beneath scrutiny, with crypto analysts debating the resilience of its reserves. A former Citi Analysis lead, Joseph Ayoub, challenged Hayes’ claims, arguing that even when Bitcoin and gold costs had been to crash 30%, a USDT insolvency stays extremely unlikely. 

He highlighted that the BitMEX co-founder had missed three key factors in his put up. Ayoub famous that Tether’s publicly disclosed belongings don’t signify everything of its company holdings. In accordance with him, when Tether points USDT, it maintains a separate fairness stability sheet that’s not publicly reported. The reserve numbers which are finally disclosed are meant to point out how USDT is backed. On the similar time, the corporate maintains a stability sheet for equity investments, mining operations, company reserves, presumably extra Bitcoin, and the remaining distributed as dividends to shareholders.

Ayoub additionally described Tether’s core operations as highly profitable and environment friendly. He acknowledged that the corporate holds over $100 billion in interest-yielding treasuries, producing roughly $10 billion in liquid revenue yearly whereas working a comparatively small group. The previous Citi analysis lead estimated that the stablecoin issuer’s fairness is probably going valued at between $50 billion and $100 billion, offering it with a considerable cushion in opposition to losses in its crypto and gold holdings. 

Lastly, Ayoub disclosed that Tether operates like conventional banks, sustaining solely 5-10% of deposits in liquid belongings, whereas the remaining 85% are held in longer-term investments. He additionally famous that the stablecoin issuer is considerably higher collateralized than banks, including that with their ability to print money, chapter is nearly unattainable.

Bitcoin
BTC buying and selling at $86,636 on the 1D chart | Supply: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured picture from Shutterstock, chart from Tradingview.com

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