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Bitcoin – Explaining why BTC’s price drop isn’t what it seems

SCRYPTO MAGAZINE by SCRYPTO MAGAZINE
October 14, 2025
in Bitcoin
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Bitcoin – Explaining why BTC’s price drop isn’t what it seems
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Key Takeaways

How extreme was Bitcoin’s newest drop?

Regardless of the sell-off, 90% of the BTC provide remained in revenue, exhibiting restricted panic or pressured exits.

What triggered the correction?

Extra leverage prompted $132 million in brief liquidations, however long-term holders stayed composed, conserving BTC’s base steady.


Bitcoin’s [BTC] newest sell-off seemed steep, but it didn’t mirror the panic collapses seen in 2022’s Luna or FTX crashes. The proof factors to a leverage reset, not a disaster of confidence.

Over 90% of BTC’s provide continues to be in revenue

Glassnode’s knowledge showed that over 90% of Bitcoin’s circulating provide remained in revenue regardless of the latest decline. That divergence indicated most realized losses got here from overexposed merchants and prime patrons, moderately than long-term holders.

That could be a essential distinction, because it means that the correction was structural moderately than emotional.

BTC supply on profitBTC supply on profit

Supply: Glassnode

No signal of 2022-style capitulation

Through the Luna and FTX collapses, the % Provide in Revenue metric fell beneath 65%, marking panic-driven capitulation phases. These had been textbook capitulations — moments when everybody rushed for the exits.

This time, the setup was fully totally different.

The latest decline wasn’t fueled by concern or spot holders promoting below strain. As an alternative, it stemmed from extreme leverage within the derivatives market, which ultimately needed to unwind.

Because the market moved towards overexposed merchants, their pressured liquidations triggered a speedy, mechanical chain response – sharp and sudden, however not emotionally pushed.

BTC net realized profit_lossBTC net realized profit_loss

Supply: X

Leverage unwound, not confidence

CryptoQuant’s Quick Liquidations knowledge revealed that round $132 million value of shorts had been liquidated close to the $112,000 worth zone. That cascade worn out over-leveraged merchants and dragged costs decrease, however it additionally helped reset the market construction.

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The short-squeeze was a transparent signal that the market flushed out extra leverage and set a cleaner base for the subsequent section.

Bitcoin Short LiquidationBitcoin Short Liquidation

Supply: CryptoQuant

Bitcoin long-term holders stayed composed

In previous capitulations, long-term wallets despatched BTC to exchanges — a basic panic sign.

This time, the Lengthy-Time period Holder Provide stayed regular, whereas the Quick-Time period Holder Provide rose, exhibiting newer merchants led the promoting.

That could be a signal of rising maturity out there. Lengthy-term buyers didn’t flinch, and that steadiness helps forestall deeper collapses.

Bitcoin holders supplyBitcoin holders supply

Supply: CryptoQuant

Bitcoin’s valuation stays balanced

At press time, Bitcoin’s MVRV Z-Rating sat at 2.15, suggesting that BTC was neither overvalued nor deeply discounted.

Traditionally, readings beneath 1.0 sign main bottoms, whereas above 6.0 mark euphoric tops.

BTC MVRV Z-scoreBTC MVRV Z-score

Supply: CoinGlass

Taken collectively, the info present this correction was a wholesome reset. Leverage unwound, conviction stayed sturdy, and Bitcoin’s construction appears prepared for the subsequent accumulation cycle.

Subsequent: Ethereum’s 50-50 setup explained: Macro fears vs. $376M accumulation



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