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Bitcoin Pricing Bands Point To $140,000 Target But On This Condition – Analyst

SCRYPTO MAGAZINE by SCRYPTO MAGAZINE
October 5, 2025
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Bitcoin Pricing Bands Point To $140,000 Target But On This Condition – Analyst
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Bitcoin (BTC) has maintained a robust bullish efficiency over the previous seven days, with the worth gaining by roughly 12%. The crypto market chief rose to close $124,000 earlier than experiencing a slight retracement, which has now pressured costs to $122,070. With the market sustaining a consolidation sample, distinguished analyst Ali Martinez has shared some vital value insights based mostly on the MVRV pricing bands.

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Holding Above $117k May Propel BTC To $140k Subsequent

The MVRV (Market Worth to Realized Worth) metric measures how far Bitcoin’s market value deviates from its realized value, successfully assessing whether or not BTC is overvalued or undervalued relative to historic norms. The chart’s color-coded deviation bands visualize these extremes, with the +0.5σ ($117,644) band presently performing as an vital threshold.

In an X post on October 4, Maritnez explains the significance of this deviation band, stating that BTC’s skill to keep up value motion above this mid-level band might precede large-scale bullish continuations. In distinction, the chart under suggests {that a} sustained value drop under the +0.5σ has usually marked deeper corrections or mid-cycle resets.

Bitcoin

Notably, the higher purple band, marked round $139,800 (+1σ), represents the following key resistance degree and an space the place merchants are anticipated to begin taking earnings. Nevertheless, a gentle consolidation above +0.5σ is critical to keep up bullish structural power and supply the push for the following leg, which is predicted to propel BTC past its present all-time excessive at $124,457.

Nevertheless, a value fall under this degree might lead to Bitcoin heading to the imply deviation band round $95,394. This might signify a 21.8% decline from current market costs and doubtlessly the beginning of a bear market.

Bitcoin Realized Value Regular At $54,000 As Market Stays Wholesome

In different information, Glassnode MVRV pricing bands knowledge reveal that the present BTC realized value is ready round $54,348. For context, this metric displays the common value at which traders final moved their BTC, successfully serving as a psychological help throughout market corrections.

Notably, the present hole between the spot value, round $122,000, and the realized value underscores a wholesome bull section, with most holders sitting on substantial unrealized features. So long as the realized value continues to rise steadily, it reinforces the underlying power of the market and indicators long-term confidence in an upward trajectory.

At press time, Bitcoin is valued at $122,197 following a 0.3% decline previously day. In tandem, the each day buying and selling quantity is down by 55.52% representing a fall in buying and selling exercise.

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