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Historical Risk Levels Say Dogecoin Price Has Not Topped Yet, More Upside Coming?

SCRYPTO MAGAZINE by SCRYPTO MAGAZINE
October 4, 2025
in Dogecoin
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Historical Risk Levels Say Dogecoin Price Has Not Topped Yet, More Upside Coming?
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A brand new technical evaluation is suggesting that Dogecoin’s present rally may still have room to grow. In line with crypto analyst Kevin, the historic danger ranges that normally mark cycle tops are at the moment nowhere close to flashing purple for Dogecoin. 

Chart evaluation of Dogecoin’s historic danger ranges reveals that the meme coin remains to be sitting in what appears like a mid-cycle phase, and the form of overheated value motion that preceeds exhaustion has not but appeared.

Dogecoin Historic Threat Ranges Level To Extra Upside

Kevin’s latest post on the social media platform X showcased Dogecoin’s historic danger ranges in a color-coded chart between 0 and 1, with 0 being the bottom danger and 1 being the very best danger. The chart, which covers many cycles going way back to 2014, reveals moments when danger was at excessive ranges and costs have been close to exhaustion. 

Associated Studying

Intervals of excessive market exhaustions are labeled in heat colours, with purple being the very best. As an illustration, Dogecoin’s all-time excessive in 2021 was labeled by a purple danger degree. Alternatively, these of low market exercise are labeled in cool colours, with deep blue being the bottom degree of exercise.

Dogecoin
Supply: Chart from Kevin on X

The present studying of 0.52 is way from these purple hazard zones, which have traditionally aligned with blow-off tops. As a substitute, Dogecoin is at the moment in what Kevin describes as a mid-cycle state. That evaluation aligns with the latest price action, which reveals Dogecoin now holding above $0.25 after final week’s consolidation between $0.22 and $0.23. 

Dogecoin’s Greatest Transfer Nonetheless Forward?

With the newest Dogecoin danger degree sitting at round 0.52, this implies that Dogecoin has not but entered the kind of frenzy that always defines the ultimate section of a cycle. Due to this fact, it signifies that the king of meme coin still has a lot of rally to play out, and there’s the potential of charting a path to a brand new all-time excessive if crypto market situations provide the right backdrop. We’ve got not had that sort of value motion but this cycle.

Associated Studying

Kevin’s newest replace builds on observations he made earlier in August, the place he famous the significance of month-to-month Stoch RSI crosses throughout bull market environments. Every time Dogecoin registered such crosses exterior of bear markets, the outcome was an enormous upside rally. At the moment, the Stoch RSI was climbing from the 13 degree, and that is related to weak momentum turning into power.

On the time of writing, Dogecoin is buying and selling at $0.2554, that means it’s up by about 12.5% up to now 24 hours. Given the present setup and the possibility of a Spot Dogecoin ETF hitting the US market quickly, it’s cheap to anticipate that Dogecoin might climb a lot greater earlier than it enters the overheated territory. On this case, hitting the $1 value degree is not out of the question.

Dogecoin
DOGE buying and selling at $0.25 on the 1D chart | Supply: DOGEUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured picture from Getty Pictures, chart from Tradingview.com



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