SOL Risks $120 Retest Despite Bullish Onchain Data

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Key takeaway:

SOL (SOL) initiatives a bearish outlook on the every day chart after forming a bearish engulfing, and if the pattern holds, SOL worth might fall to $120.

On the 1-day timeframe, SOL reveals a head-and-shoulders sample, which is a bearish reversal sign. A breakdown beneath its $140 neckline degree, confirmed by a quantity spike, might result in a bearish continuation.

Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch, Solana
Solana 1-day chart. Supply: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The draw back goal from the head-and-shoulders sample is round $126, supported by the rapid liquidity zone. Nonetheless, the every day demand zone is printed by the order block between $95 and $120 (yellow field), which could possibly be examined over the subsequent few weeks. 

The bearish sample for SOL could possibly be invalidated if the value achieves a every day shut above the $157 resistance degree. Nonetheless, Solana has proven a robust correlation with Bitcoin all through the quarter. With BTC doubtlessly retesting assist close to the $100,000 degree, elevated sell-side strain might result in additional correction for SOL.

Related: SOL price rally to $200 brewing, but 3 key catalysts must happen first

Onchain knowledge helps Solana restoration.

Regardless of a bearish outlook, onchain knowledge for Solana continues to color a bullish image. Based on Glassnode, the Community Worth to Transactions Ratio (NVT) has dropped beneath 10, its lowest rating since February 2025. This means sturdy community utilization relative to its market worth, a key indicator of long-term potential, regardless of SOL’s worth fluctuating underneath $150. 

Solana’s NVT ratio. Supply: Glassnode

Moreover, the Change Web Place Change chart reveals constant SOL withdrawals from exchanges, a pattern that has just lately begun to rise once more (i.e., SOL is shifting again into exchanges). This means rising investor confidence, as holding SOL off exchanges typically alerts accumulation for future features. The info reveals a major web outflow, with peaks of -4.6 million SOL on Might 28, adopted by a latest uptick in deposits, which falls in keeping with the value’s present dip.

Solana Change Web Place Change. Supply: Glassnode

Whereas Solana’s worth has confronted volatility, dropping from a excessive of $295 in early 2025, the onchain metrics recommend underlying energy. The secure NVT and rising alternate outflows spotlight strong community exercise and investor accumulation, overshadowing short-term worth bearishness. 

Related: Canada’s Sol Strategies files with SEC to list on the Nasdaq

This text doesn’t comprise funding recommendation or suggestions. Each funding and buying and selling transfer includes threat, and readers ought to conduct their very own analysis when making a choice.