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Ethereum Monthly RSI At 2018 Market Low — What Happened Last Time?

SCRYPTO MAGAZINE by SCRYPTO MAGAZINE
April 5, 2025
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Ethereum Monthly RSI At 2018 Market Low — What Happened Last Time?
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Trusted Editorial content material, reviewed by main trade consultants and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

The worth of Ethereum seemed to be again on its solution to restoration, reclaiming the psychological $2,000 degree earlier within the week. Nonetheless, the altcoin was among the many crypto belongings closely impacted by the newest inflation information in the USA, returning beneath $2,000.

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This newest correction highlights the struggles of the Ethereum worth over the previous few months, underperforming even within the midst of a market-wide bull run. Apparently, a outstanding indicator has flashed the imminence of a backside for the second-largest cryptocurrency.

Is ETH Prepared For A Rebound?

In a March 28 publish on the X platform, Chartered Market Technician (CMT) Tony Severino shared {that a} essential indicator for the Ethereum worth is at 2018 bear market ranges. The crypto knowledgeable steered that the altcoin could possibly be gearing up for a rebound from its current lows.

This evaluation is predicated on current modifications within the 1-month relative power index (RSI) indicator on the Ethereum month-to-month chart. The relative power index is a momentum indicator utilized in technical evaluation to measure the velocity and magnitude of an asset’s worth modifications.

The RSI oscillator is used to detect whether or not an asset is being overbought or oversold, indicating the tendency of a pattern/worth reversal. Sometimes, an RSI studying of over 70 alerts an overbought market situation, whereas a relative power index worth beneath 30 suggests an oversold situation.

Based on Severino, the month-to-month Ethereum RSI indicator is at present at a worth final seen throughout the bear market in 2018. As noticed within the chart beneath, the indicator additionally reached this backside following the crypto market capitulation occasions in Could and November 2022.

Ethereum

Supply: @tonythebullBTC on X

After reaching this degree, the relative power index and worth of ETH are inclined to bounce again to new highs. Within the 2018 cycle, the Ethereum worth surged by almost 4,000% from round $120 to the present all-time excessive of $4,878. 

In the meantime, the altcoin returned to round this record-high worth in early 2024 after reaching this RSI backside in 2022. If historical past had been to repeat itself, the worth of ETH could bounce back from its present level to a brand new excessive.

Nonetheless, Severino highlighted in his publish that the month-to-month Ethereum RSI backside in 2018 got here after the worth dropped roughly 94% from its then all-time excessive. The worth of ETH is simply 56% adrift from the native excessive and 63% from its present file excessive. Therefore, it stays to be seen whether or not the Ethereum worth is vulnerable to additional decline.

Ethereum Worth At A Look

As of this writing, the worth of ETH is round $1,880, reflecting an virtually 7% decline prior to now 24 hours.

Ethereum

The worth of ETH on the day by day timeframe | Supply: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView

Featured picture from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

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