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Dogecoin At Make-Or-Break Point After Multi-Year Trendline Test

SCRYPTO MAGAZINE by SCRYPTO MAGAZINE
March 19, 2025
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Dogecoin Must Hold This Support Or Risk Crashing To $0.015
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Dogecoin (DOGE) closed final week on a bullish word after testing essential technical ranges that might outline its subsequent directional transfer. The weekly chart on Binance (DOGE/USDT) reveals that DOGE is presently buying and selling simply above the numerous 0.786 Fibonacci retracement degree at $0.167. This retracement is drawn from the all-time low at $0.0805 to the height of $0.4844.

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Dogecoin Reversal Confirmed?

A notable technical growth is the interplay with a long-standing descending trendline, extending from the Could 2021 all-time excessive. DOGE lately retested this trendline as help after breaking above it in November 2024.

Dogecoin price
DOGE value, 1-week chart | Supply: DOGEUSDT on TradingView.com

Final week’s candle printed a Hammer-like formation, characterised by a small actual physique close to the high quality and a considerably longer decrease shadow. Whereas the candle additionally shows a modest higher wick, the dominance of the decrease shadow alerts that patrons absorbed aggressive promote strain beneath the trendline and pushed the worth again above the 0.786 Fibonacci degree – a powerful bullish signal.

Associated Studying

Nevertheless, this week could possibly be as necessary as final week. A weekly shut above $0.167 appears important to substantiate the momentum. In any other case, one other check of the multi-year trendline may turn into a make-or-break second for the Dogecoin value.

Notably, momentum indicators stay impartial to bearish. The weekly Relative Energy Index (RSI) closed round 39, reflecting subdued shopping for energy and highlighting that DOGE remains to be working beneath the impartial 50 mark.

The Exponential Shifting Averages (EMAs) are offering layered resistance above the present value.
The 100-week EMA lies at $0.17284, positioned simply above DOGE’s present vary, whereas the 50-week EMA is situated at $0.21427. The 20-week EMA, the extra quick resistance throughout earlier rallies, now sits at $0.24805. Help is strengthened on the 200-week EMA round $0.13621, a degree that might seemingly function a final line of protection ought to DOGE crash beneath the multi-year trendline.

Associated Studying

Value motion in current weeks additionally reveals DOGE breaking down from a bearish flag or channel formation, with the breakdown accelerating towards the confluence of the 0.786 Fibonacci degree and the descending trendline retest. Regardless of this, the market responded with robust shopping for curiosity within the highlighted purple help zone.

On-chain information additional contextualizes the current value motion. Analytics agency Santiment reported by way of X immediately that Dogecoin, like most meme cash, has been closely impacted through the ongoing two-month market-wide retracement. Nevertheless, Santiment identified a bullish divergence on the community facet.

The agency states: “Dogecoin, like most meme cash, have been hammered through the 2-month crypto-wide retrace. Nevertheless, we advocate keeping track of the rising degree of wallets holding not less than 1M $DOGE, which has recovered through the value dump. Lively addresses are additionally at 4-month highs.”

Dogecoin active addresses
Dogecoin lively addresses | Supply: X @santimentfeed

Including to this sentiment, crypto analyst Daan Crypto Trades commented by way of X: “DOGE much like PEPE however has already retaken the Election degree after sweeping it. I believe these are key ranges to maintain watching on a whole lot of these alts. A sweep & retake alerts some quick time period reduction and these ranges can supply a clear invalidation degree afterwards.”

Dogecoin price analysis
Dogecoin value evaluation | Supply: X @DaanCrypto

This aligns with the technical remark that DOGE’s current value motion might symbolize a sweep of liquidity beneath a key degree, adopted by a restoration above help — a typical short-term bullish reversal sample in crypto markets.

Featured picture created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com



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